BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 26 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Mississippi Kite In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

All regionsMississippi Alluvial ValleyGeneralists

Mississippi Kite in Mississippi Alluvial Valley has surged: up 287% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+287%Since 1969
63Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Mississippi Kite has surged in Mississippi Alluvial Valley: up 287% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Mississippi Kite in Mississippi Alluvial Valley is projected to rise about 50% by 2029 — from 2.9 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.3 (95% range 2.6–6.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±63.9%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+50%Change by 2029
4.3Projected 2029 index
2.6–6.095% range
±63.9%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20254.02.45.7
20264.12.45.8
20274.22.55.8
20284.22.65.9
20294.32.66.0

Routes In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

Routes recording Mississippi Kite in Mississippi Alluvial Valley.
EnglandARKANSAS512023
Baton RougeLOUISIANA272024
KraemerLOUISIANA102024
South BendARKANSAS92022
BelairLOUISIANA92024
SaffellARKANSAS72018
CarlisleLOUISIANA71988
KeystoneLOUISIANA72013
RamahLOUISIANA72024
River RoadLOUISIANA62024
LaroseLOUISIANA51992
GibsonLOUISIANA52019
BrousvilleLOUISIANA52024
BerwickLOUISIANA52018
MaynardARKANSAS42024
RoselandLOUISIANA42024
GonzalesLOUISIANA42019
Eagle LakeMISSISSIPPI42024
Hickory RidgeARKANSAS32010
GillettARKANSAS32024
FreetownLOUISIANA32019
ShawLOUISIANA32024
Morgan CityLOUISIANA32022
Dahomey NwrMISSISSIPPI32024
Crowley'S RidgeARKANSAS22024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.