BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 18 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Mississippi Kite In Shortgrass Prairie

All regionsShortgrass PrairieGeneralists

Mississippi Kite in Shortgrass Prairie has fallen sharply: down 57% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-57%Since 1969
27Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Mississippi Kite has fallen sharply in Shortgrass Prairie: down 57% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Mississippi Kite in Shortgrass Prairie is projected to rise about 23% by 2029 — from 0.11 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.13 (95% range 0.00–0.56). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±77.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+23%Change by 2029
0.13Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.5695% range
±77.9%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.150.000.58
20260.150.000.58
20270.140.000.57
20280.140.000.57
20290.130.000.56

Routes In Shortgrass Prairie

Routes recording Mississippi Kite in Shortgrass Prairie.
PantexTEXAS122023
TenmileTEXAS62023
ChanningTEXAS42010
DoughertyTEXAS42022
LakinKANSAS32022
PlymellKANSAS32021
FlaglerCOLORADO22024
FeltOKLAHOMA22024
Clear LakeOKLAHOMA22018
LamesaTEXAS22024
PlainsTEXAS22023
SkellytownTEXAS22010
DalhartTEXAS22024
SedanNEW-MEXICO12022
ClovisNEW-MEXICO12009
HobbsNEW-MEXICO12013
LoganNEW-MEXICO12019
HardestyOKLAHOMA12002
PostTEXAS12024
CircleTEXAS12015
MiamiTEXAS12022
FloydadaTEXAS12023
ClaytonvilleTEXAS12002
FrionaTEXAS12022
PanhandleTEXAS12021

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.