BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 19 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Mallard In Central Mixed Grass Prairie

All regionsCentral Mixed Grass PrairieWaterfowl

Mallard in Central Mixed Grass Prairie has edged down: down 20% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-20%Since 1969
98Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Mallard in Central Mixed Grass Prairie. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Mallard in Central Mixed Grass Prairie is projected to rise about 62% by 2029 — from 1.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.1 (95% range 0.22–4.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±69.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+62%Change by 2029
2.1Projected 2029 index
0.22–4.095% range
±69.1%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.10.214.0
20262.10.214.0
20272.10.214.0
20282.10.224.0
20292.10.224.0

Routes In Central Mixed Grass Prairie

Routes recording Mallard in Central Mixed Grass Prairie.
HamptonNEBRASKA142019
BartlettNEBRASKA131975
Wheeler CoNEBRASKA132024
KennedyNEBRASKA122024
Piester LakeNEBRASKA112024
NenzelNEBRASKA72024
ErickOKLAHOMA72021
KenesawNEBRASKA62024
SargentNEBRASKA62024
HanoverKANSAS51973
LoganKANSAS52019
StrattonNEBRASKA52024
AlmeriaNEBRASKA52000
Crescent LkNEBRASKA52017
CookietownOKLAHOMA51997
MisslerKANSAS42019
HodgesKANSAS42014
Swan LakeNEBRASKA42023
GordonNEBRASKA42024
BassettNEBRASKA42024
AshlandKANSAS32018
HaysKANSAS32008
TableNEBRASKA32024
ArthurNEBRASKA32024
RandlettOKLAHOMA32004

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.