BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Little Blue Heron In Peninsular Florida

All regionsPeninsular FloridaWetland birds

Little Blue Heron in Peninsular Florida has fallen sharply: down 71% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-71%Since 1968
80Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Little Blue Heron has fallen sharply in Peninsular Florida: down 71% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Little Blue Heron in Peninsular Florida is projected to fall about 13% by 2029 — from 1.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.6 (95% range 0.00–4.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±24.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-13%Change by 2029
1.6Projected 2029 index
0.00–4.095% range
±24.6%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.80.004.2
20261.70.004.2
20271.70.004.1
20281.60.004.1
20291.60.004.0

Routes In Peninsular Florida

Routes recording Little Blue Heron in Peninsular Florida.
WebbFLORIDA242024
Wildernes PkFLORIDA162014
ShawanoFLORIDA142002
Ridge HarborFLORIDA122024
Dale MabryFLORIDA111988
TamiamiFLORIDA101974
Shawano 2FLORIDA102011
SandyFLORIDA82015
Weaver StnFLORIDA62019
Mabel 2FLORIDA62019
Holey LandFLORIDA62024
Winter GardnFLORIDA52019
Indiantown 2FLORIDA52023
Dupuis W.E.AFLORIDA52018
Devils GardnFLORIDA42024
Plantation KFLORIDA31994
Pleasant GrFLORIDA32008
AripekaFLORIDA32023
AlvaFLORIDA32023
Citrus ParkFLORIDA32024
Lake BuffumFLORIDA32018
Punta GordaFLORIDA32015
GoetheFLORIDA32024
Babcock RnchFLORIDA31990
Merritt Island 2FLORIDA32014

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.