BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 27 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Little Blue Heron In Southeastern Coastal Plain

All regionsSoutheastern Coastal PlainWetland birds

Little Blue Heron in Southeastern Coastal Plain has fallen sharply: down 62% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-62%Since 1968
262Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Little Blue Heron has fallen sharply in Southeastern Coastal Plain: down 62% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Little Blue Heron in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to fall about 62% by 2029 — from 1.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.40 (95% range 0.00–1.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±45.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-62%Change by 2029
0.40Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.195% range
±45.7%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.470.001.2
20260.450.001.2
20270.430.001.2
20280.420.001.1
20290.400.001.1

Routes In Southeastern Coastal Plain

Routes recording Little Blue Heron in Southeastern Coastal Plain.
GrangeburgALABAMA412024
NewtonGEORGIA402024
New HopeFLORIDA202011
HendersonGEORGIA192024
Cypress LakesNORTH-CAROLINA182018
Seminole Hills 2FLORIDA162022
TarverGEORGIA152024
Lake MaryMISSISSIPPI141990
DouglasGEORGIA121984
Gainestown FerryALABAMA112012
SandersonFLORIDA102016
Doctor InletFLORIDA82000
CorinthMISSISSIPPI82024
DickeyGEORGIA72017
MadridALABAMA62023
NeedmoreGEORGIA61982
OusleyGEORGIA62024
SteinhatcheeFLORIDA52022
DolesGEORGIA52019
Coffee CoGEORGIA52017
UnionGEORGIA52023
OwensboroGEORGIA52023
Myrtle GroveNORTH-CAROLINA52024
FoleyALABAMA41977
EufaulaALABAMA42013

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.