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Species · Florida · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Limpkin Population Trend in Florida

All statesWetland birds

Limpkin in Florida has held roughly steady: down 9% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-9%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
58Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Limpkin Trends in FloridaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Limpkin in Florida. See the full index history below.

Limpkin Population Forecast in Florida

If the recent trend holds, Limpkin in Florida is projected to fall about 63% by 2030 — from 0.80 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.30 (95% range 0.00–1.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±41.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-63%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.30Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–1.195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±41.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Limpkin in Florida is projected to fall about 63% by 2030 — from 0.80 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.30 (95% range 0.00–1.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±41.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.300.001.1
20270.300.001.1
20280.300.001.1
20290.300.001.1
20300.300.001.1

Limpkin Survey Routes in Florida

Routes recording Limpkin in Florida.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Clewiston2420192016
St Lucie1620251988
Pinecrest720181966
Davie620172017
Corbett520221988
Holey Land520251993
Indiantown 2420252019
Wildernes Pk420141992
Sandy 2420232017
Winter Gardn420191988
Sandy420082000
Broad Branch319761974
San Antonio320251999
Ridge Harbor320251992
Dupuis W.E.A320222006
Tamiami319741966
Kissimmee320251992
Citrus Park320251993
Lake Buffum220161988
Croom220251989
Green Swamp220182018
Webb220252001
Dale Mabry219761966
Sunniland Gr220211966
Chassahowitz220192019

Limpkin Population Trend in Other States

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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.