BirdAnalyst
Species · Florida · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Limpkin Population Trend in Florida

All statesGeneralists

Limpkin in Florida has declined: down 34% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-34%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
58Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
56YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Limpkin Trends in FloridaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Limpkin in Florida. See the full index history below.

Limpkin Population Forecast in Florida

If the recent trend holds, Limpkin in Florida is projected to fall about 65% by 2029 — from 0.75 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.26 (95% range 0.00–1.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±57.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-65%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.26Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–1.095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±57.2%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Limpkin in Florida is projected to fall about 65% by 2029 — from 0.75 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.26 (95% range 0.00–1.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±57.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.270.001.0
20260.260.001.0
20270.260.001.0
20280.260.001.0
20290.260.001.0

Limpkin Survey Routes in Florida

Routes recording Limpkin in Florida.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Clewiston2420192016
St Lucie1820241988
Holey Land1220241993
Pinecrest720181966
Devils Gardn720241988
Davie620172017
Croom520191989
Corbett520221988
Wildernes Pk420141992
Sandy 2420232017
Winter Gardn420191988
Sandy420082000
Broad Branch319761974
Polk City320241980
Dupuis W.E.A320222006
Tamiami319741966
Lake Buffum220161988
Green Swamp220182018
Dale Mabry219761966
Sunniland Gr220211966
Ridge Harbor220231992
Chassahowitz220192019
Andytown219871974
Weaver Stn220182018
Island Grove220191992

Limpkin Population Trend in Other States

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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.