BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Limpkin In Peninsular Florida

All regionsPeninsular FloridaGeneralists

Limpkin in Peninsular Florida has declined: down 42% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-42%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
53Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
56YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Limpkin in Peninsular Florida. See the full index history below.

Limpkin In Peninsular Florida Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Limpkin in Peninsular Florida is projected to fall about 68% by 2029 — from 1.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.36 (95% range 0.00–1.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±65.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-68%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.36Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–1.695% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±65.2%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Limpkin in Peninsular Florida is projected to fall about 68% by 2029 — from 1.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.36 (95% range 0.00–1.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±65.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.370.001.7
20260.370.001.6
20270.370.001.6
20280.360.001.6
20290.360.001.6

Routes In Peninsular Florida

Routes recording Limpkin in Peninsular Florida.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
ClewistonFLORIDA242019
St LucieFLORIDA182024
Holey LandFLORIDA122024
PinecrestFLORIDA72018
Devils GardnFLORIDA72024
DavieFLORIDA62017
CroomFLORIDA52019
CorbettFLORIDA52022
Winter GardnFLORIDA42019
SandyFLORIDA42008
Sandy 2FLORIDA42023
Wildernes PkFLORIDA42014
Polk CityFLORIDA32024
TamiamiFLORIDA31974
Dupuis W.E.AFLORIDA32022
Dale MabryFLORIDA21976
Sunniland GrFLORIDA22021
AndytownFLORIDA21987
Weaver StnFLORIDA22018
Island GroveFLORIDA22019
Myakka Head 2FLORIDA22021
Lake BuffumFLORIDA22016
Green SwampFLORIDA22018
Ridge HarborFLORIDA22023
ChassahowitzFLORIDA22019

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.