BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 35 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Lesser Nighthawk In Chihuahuan Desert

All regionsChihuahuan DesertAerial insectivores

Lesser Nighthawk in Chihuahuan Desert has edged up: up 11% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+11%Since 1969
48Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Lesser Nighthawk in Chihuahuan Desert. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Lesser Nighthawk in Chihuahuan Desert is projected to rise about 36% by 2029 — from 4.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 6.0 (95% range 2.4–9.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±20.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+36%Change by 2029
6.0Projected 2029 index
2.4–9.795% range
±20.4%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20255.82.19.5
20265.92.29.5
20275.92.39.6
20286.02.39.7
20296.02.49.7

Routes In Chihuahuan Desert

Routes recording Lesser Nighthawk in Chihuahuan Desert.
GageNEW-MEXICO472024
PresidioTEXAS292023
GirvinTEXAS182017
Coyanda DrawTEXAS172024
RodeoNEW-MEXICO132024
ColumbusNEW-MEXICO122024
Casa PiedraTEXAS122023
Hatchet PeakNEW-MEXICO112024
LaborcitaNEW-MEXICO102019
CastolonTEXAS82024
MesillaNEW-MEXICO72000
PumpvilleTEXAS62024
ComstockTEXAS52023
Black GapTEXAS52023
Devils R CynTEXAS52023
Quitman Cyn.TEXAS52009
Van HornTEXAS52024
CanutilloTEXAS42011
Quitman Canyon 2TEXAS42024
Sunshine WllNEW-MEXICO32024
EngleNEW-MEXICO21989
CornudasTEXAS22015
LangtryTEXAS22000
Ft. StocktonTEXAS22016
San AntonioNEW-MEXICO11977

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.