Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Lesser Nighthawk In Oaks and Prairies
Lesser Nighthawk in Oaks and Prairies has collapsed: down 86% on the route-weighted index since 1971.
-86%Since 1971
9Routes In Region
43Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Lesser Nighthawk has collapsed in Oaks and Prairies: down 86% on the route-weighted index since 1971.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Lesser Nighthawk in Oaks and Prairies is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.01 (95% range 0.00–0.54). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±68.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
n/aChange by 2029
0.01Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.5495% range
±68.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.57 |
| 2026 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.56 |
| 2027 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.56 |
| 2028 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.55 |
| 2029 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.54 |
Routes In Oaks and Prairies
| Schroeder | TEXAS | 14 | 1969 |
| Campbellton | TEXAS | 5 | 2018 |
| Selden | TEXAS | 2 | 1985 |
| Brite | TEXAS | 2 | 2013 |
| Hobson | TEXAS | 1 | 2016 |
| Lone Oak | TEXAS | 1 | 1999 |
| Glen Rose | TEXAS | 1 | 1981 |
| Albany | TEXAS | 1 | 1986 |
| Three Rivers | TEXAS | 1 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.