BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 19 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Lesser Goldfinch In Central Mixed Grass Prairie

All regionsCentral Mixed Grass PrairieGeneralists

Lesser Goldfinch in Central Mixed Grass Prairie has declined: down 27% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-27%Since 1969
10Routes In Region
51Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Lesser Goldfinch in Central Mixed Grass Prairie. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Lesser Goldfinch in Central Mixed Grass Prairie is projected to fall about 94% by 2028 — from 0.23 in 2023 to a central estimate of 0.01 (95% range 0.00–0.30). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±62.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-94%Change by 2028
0.01Projected 2028 index
0.00–0.3095% range
±62.8%Backtest error
19672028
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20240.030.000.32
20250.030.000.31
20260.020.000.31
20270.020.000.30
20280.010.000.30

Routes In Central Mixed Grass Prairie

Routes recording Lesser Goldfinch in Central Mixed Grass Prairie.
EldoradoTEXAS102023
Pear ValleyTEXAS42023
MertzonTEXAS32011
HaskellTEXAS22018
GirardTEXAS22012
WinchellTEXAS12022
BookerTEXAS11978
RotanTEXAS11995
HawleyTEXAS12005
Shields 2TEXAS12011

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.