BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 15 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Lesser Goldfinch In Sierra Nevada

All regionsSierra NevadaGeneralists

Lesser Goldfinch in Sierra Nevada has edged down: down 12% on the route-weighted index since 1971.

-12%Since 1971
33Routes In Region
55Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Lesser Goldfinch in Sierra Nevada. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Lesser Goldfinch in Sierra Nevada is projected to fall about 11% by 2029 — from 5.9 in 2024 to a central estimate of 5.3 (95% range 1.6–9.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±23.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-11%Change by 2029
5.3Projected 2029 index
1.6–9.195% range
±23.7%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20255.21.48.9
20265.21.59.0
20275.21.59.0
20285.31.59.0
20295.31.69.1

Routes In Sierra Nevada

Routes recording Lesser Goldfinch in Sierra Nevada.
Higgins CornCALIFORNIA382024
Bass LakeCALIFORNIA292019
LakeshoreCALIFORNIA162024
Silver CityCALIFORNIA152013
KernvilleCALIFORNIA142008
Tuolumne GroveCALIFORNIA132024
Greenhorn MtCALIFORNIA122008
GeneseeCALIFORNIA112024
CoultervilleCALIFORNIA112019
Pollock PinesCALIFORNIA92024
WawonaCALIFORNIA92024
Meadow ValleyCALIFORNIA72021
ChilcootCALIFORNIA62024
PaxtonCALIFORNIA52024
Cottage SpgsCALIFORNIA41974
Pine MountainCALIFORNIA42017
DardanelleCALIFORNIA21994
JohnsvilleCALIFORNIA22023
WoodfordsCALIFORNIA22024
DownievilleCALIFORNIA22023
Hat CreekCALIFORNIA21983
Forest HillCALIFORNIA22022
WestvilleCALIFORNIA12017
LumberyardCALIFORNIA12018
Kings CanyonCALIFORNIA12024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.