Species · BCR 9 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Lark Sparrow In Great Basin
Lark Sparrow in Great Basin has surged: up 163% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
+163%Since 1970
207Routes In Region
56Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Lark Sparrow has surged in Great Basin: up 163% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Lark Sparrow in Great Basin is projected to fall about 11% by 2029 — from 4.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.0 (95% range 2.5–5.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±18.9%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-11%Change by 2029
4.0Projected 2029 index
2.5–5.595% range
±18.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3.9 | 2.4 | 5.4 |
| 2026 | 3.9 | 2.4 | 5.4 |
| 2027 | 3.9 | 2.4 | 5.4 |
| 2028 | 3.9 | 2.4 | 5.5 |
| 2029 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 5.5 |
Routes In Great Basin
| Promontory | UTAH | 77 | 2024 |
| Leamington | UTAH | 75 | 2017 |
| Chimney Res. | NEVADA | 61 | 2024 |
| Trout Creek | OREGON | 57 | 2021 |
| Alvord Lake | OREGON | 56 | 2024 |
| Majors Place | NEVADA | 35 | 2024 |
| Wendover | UTAH | 35 | 2011 |
| Ranchogrande | NEVADA | 25 | 2024 |
| Ingalls | CALIFORNIA | 22 | 1999 |
| Pine Creek | UTAH | 22 | 2023 |
| Grantsville | UTAH | 20 | 2024 |
| Piute Mdws | NEVADA | 19 | 2024 |
| Catlow Rim | OREGON | 19 | 2024 |
| Goose Creek Mtn. | UTAH | 19 | 2023 |
| Midas | NEVADA | 18 | 2024 |
| Sheaville | OREGON | 18 | 2024 |
| Horn Rapids | WASHINGTON | 17 | 2024 |
| Glenns Ferry | IDAHO | 16 | 1986 |
| Harney Lake | OREGON | 15 | 2024 |
| Three Forks | OREGON | 14 | 2024 |
| Timpie Spg | UTAH | 14 | 2003 |
| Gold Hill | UTAH | 13 | 2024 |
| Vernon | UTAH | 13 | 2024 |
| Clive | UTAH | 13 | 2013 |
| Richland | WASHINGTON | 13 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.