Species · BCR 36 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Lark Sparrow In Tamaulipan Brushlands
Lark Sparrow in Tamaulipan Brushlands has edged down: down 22% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-22%Since 1969
28Routes In Region
57Years
Notable Signals
No notable trend signals for Lark Sparrow in Tamaulipan Brushlands. See the full index history below.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Lark Sparrow in Tamaulipan Brushlands is projected to fall about 26% by 2029 — from 10 in 2024 to a central estimate of 7.6 (95% range 0.00–15). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±19.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-26%Change by 2029
7.6Projected 2029 index
0.00–1595% range
±19.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 7.9 | 0.28 | 16 |
| 2026 | 7.9 | 0.20 | 16 |
| 2027 | 7.8 | 0.12 | 15 |
| 2028 | 7.7 | 0.04 | 15 |
| 2029 | 7.6 | 0.00 | 15 |
Routes In Tamaulipan Brushlands
| Pedro Creek | TEXAS | 43 | 2005 |
| Raymondville | TEXAS | 29 | 2024 |
| Hondo | TEXAS | 28 | 2024 |
| Rachal | TEXAS | 21 | 2023 |
| Catarina 3 | TEXAS | 15 | 2024 |
| Cavasara Cr. | TEXAS | 13 | 2023 |
| George West | TEXAS | 12 | 2024 |
| El Sauz | TEXAS | 12 | 2023 |
| Progreso | TEXAS | 12 | 2011 |
| La Pryor | TEXAS | 11 | 2017 |
| Heidelberg | TEXAS | 11 | 2024 |
| Agua Nueva | TEXAS | 9 | 2023 |
| Encinal | TEXAS | 9 | 2010 |
| Zapata | TEXAS | 7 | 1987 |
| Catarina 2 | TEXAS | 7 | 2017 |
| Millett 2 | TEXAS | 7 | 2024 |
| Dilley | TEXAS | 6 | 2024 |
| Encinal 2 | TEXAS | 5 | 2024 |
| Millett | TEXAS | 5 | 2012 |
| Kingsville | TEXAS | 4 | 2024 |
| Guerra | TEXAS | 4 | 2023 |
| Laredo | TEXAS | 4 | 2018 |
| Mirando City | TEXAS | 3 | 2024 |
| Sejita | TEXAS | 3 | 2024 |
| Catarina | TEXAS | 2 | 2010 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.