BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 18 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Lark Sparrow In Shortgrass Prairie

All regionsShortgrass PrairieGrassland birds

Lark Sparrow in Shortgrass Prairie has held roughly steady: up 2% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+2%Since 1969
132Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Lark Sparrow in Shortgrass Prairie. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Lark Sparrow in Shortgrass Prairie is projected to rise about 18% by 2029 — from 11 in 2024 to a central estimate of 14 (95% range 9.2–18). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±26.5%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+18%Change by 2029
14Projected 2029 index
9.2–1895% range
±26.5%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025139.218
2026139.218
2027139.218
2028149.218
2029149.218

Routes In Shortgrass Prairie

Routes recording Lark Sparrow in Shortgrass Prairie.
TrincheraCOLORADO1692022
Mica ButteCOLORADO741987
Clear LakeOKLAHOMA642024
NinaviewCOLORADO552024
FeltOKLAHOMA552024
Cone MtnCOLORADO452024
CrawfordNEBRASKA402024
VariaderoNEW-MEXICO392022
Doyle BridgeCOLORADO361997
DaltonNEBRASKA352024
PinneoCOLORADO332019
CrowleyCOLORADO312024
KirkCOLORADO312023
BoyeroCOLORADO292017
BethuneCOLORADO282019
SabinosoNEW-MEXICO282021
FarleyNEW-MEXICO252024
VillegreenCOLORADO242024
PepNEW-MEXICO242024
Agate 2NEBRASKA232024
SedanNEW-MEXICO232024
Arsenal 2COLORADO222024
TexlineTEXAS222024
HobbsNEW-MEXICO212024
SkellytownTEXAS212024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.