BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 5 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Killdeer In Northern Pacific Rainforest

All regionsNorthern Pacific RainforestShorebirds

Killdeer in Northern Pacific Rainforest has fallen sharply: down 73% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

-73%Since 1970
89Routes In Region
56Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Killdeer has fallen sharply in Northern Pacific Rainforest: down 73% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Killdeer in Northern Pacific Rainforest is projected to fall about 64% by 2029 — from 0.91 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.33 (95% range 0.00–1.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±45.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-64%Change by 2029
0.33Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.295% range
±45.6%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.550.001.4
20260.490.001.3
20270.440.001.3
20280.380.001.2
20290.330.001.2

Routes In Northern Pacific Rainforest

Routes recording Killdeer in Northern Pacific Rainforest.
South ElmaWASHINGTON132024
CoquilleOREGON92022
Warm BeachWASHINGTON92017
YrekaCALIFORNIA82019
SalemOREGON72024
AdairOREGON62024
DaytonOREGON62024
Emigrant LkOREGON62001
Martins FyCALIFORNIA51976
EverettWASHINGTON52024
RaymondWASHINGTON52021
Bay ViewWASHINGTON52017
CarrvilleCALIFORNIA41970
Hay ForkCALIFORNIA42017
UmpquaOREGON42024
CanbyOREGON42024
Warm Beach 2WASHINGTON42024
WinberryOREGON32023
DerbyOREGON31993
ElktonOREGON32024
Nicolai Mtn.OREGON32024
ScappooseOREGON32023
CamasWASHINGTON32009
MukilteoWASHINGTON32024
YakutatALASKA22023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.