BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 23 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Killdeer In Prairie Hardwood Transition

All regionsPrairie Hardwood TransitionShorebirds

Killdeer in Prairie Hardwood Transition has risen sharply: up 56% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+56%Since 1968
161Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Killdeer has risen sharply in Prairie Hardwood Transition: up 56% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Killdeer in Prairie Hardwood Transition is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 12 (95% range 7.5–16). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±4.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+0%Change by 2029
12Projected 2029 index
7.5–1695% range
±4.4%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025127.416
2026127.516
2027127.516
2028127.516
2029127.516

Routes In Prairie Hardwood Transition

Routes recording Killdeer in Prairie Hardwood Transition.
BismarkOHIO711995
NapoleonOHIO642024
LockportOHIO532024
GraytownOHIO481984
N BaltimoreOHIO432019
VickeryOHIO432024
MiddleburyINDIANA412024
FestinaIOWA352024
PackertownINDIANA322004
EllisINDIANA322024
StratfordWISCONSIN292024
BeloitWISCONSIN282024
HollandWISCONSIN282024
CoopersvilleMICHIGAN272024
Pt WashingtnWISCONSIN262024
WiotaWISCONSIN262024
KielWISCONSIN252022
Hazel GreenWISCONSIN232024
AnnatonWISCONSIN232024
OlaMICHIGAN222024
KingswayOHIO222024
Columbia CtyINDIANA212024
KewannaINDIANA202022
Drayton PlnsMICHIGAN201987
Rolling PrWISCONSIN202024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.