BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 20 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Killdeer In Edwards Plateau

All regionsEdwards PlateauShorebirds

Killdeer in Edwards Plateau has collapsed: down 81% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-81%Since 1969
20Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Killdeer has collapsed in Edwards Plateau: down 81% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Killdeer in Edwards Plateau is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 0.88 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–3.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±122%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–3.195% range
±122%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.000.003.1
20260.000.003.1
20270.000.003.1
20280.000.003.1
20290.000.003.1

Routes In Edwards Plateau

Routes recording Killdeer in Edwards Plateau.
ManorTEXAS82024
FitzhughTEXAS71983
UtopiaTEXAS42014
Pidcoke 2TEXAS32024
Prairie Mtn.TEXAS32014
GeorgetownTEXAS21985
San SabaTEXAS22019
LeakeyTEXAS22007
MontellTEXAS22002
BoerneTEXAS12019
Valley SpgsTEXAS12024
HarperTEXAS12019
PidcokeTEXAS12016
KempnerTEXAS12023
AdamsvilleTEXAS12024
Indian MtnTEXAS11996
Dripping SpgTEXAS12024
LeanderTEXAS12006
Allen CreekTEXAS12014
RockspringTEXAS12016

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.