BirdAnalyst
Species · New Mexico · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Juniper Titmouse Population Trend in New Mexico

All statesForest birds

Juniper Titmouse in New Mexico has edged down: down 13% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

-13%Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
36Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
56YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Juniper Titmouse Trends in New MexicoNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Juniper Titmouse in New Mexico. See the full index history below.

Juniper Titmouse Population Forecast in New Mexico

If the recent trend holds, Juniper Titmouse in New Mexico is projected to rise about 12% by 2029 — from 0.98 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.1 (95% range 0.27–1.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±21.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+12%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
1.1Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.27–1.995% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±21.9%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Juniper Titmouse in New Mexico is projected to rise about 12% by 2029 — from 0.98 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.1 (95% range 0.27–1.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±21.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20251.10.281.9
20261.10.281.9
20271.10.281.9
20281.10.281.9
20291.10.271.9

Juniper Titmouse Survey Routes in New Mexico

Routes recording Juniper Titmouse in New Mexico.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
La Cienega2820221969
Pecos2620171973
Claunch 21620242001
Capitan Mtn.1020172009
Fence Lake720241975
Claunch720001977
Carrizozo720241968
Gallinas720211992
Emory Pass720221994
Horse Mtn520231969
Mcgaffey520232005
Reserve520231994
Pinon520241994
Cebolla320231980
Quemado319971995
Mountainair320241998
La Plata320131990
Nageesi220241968
Ojo Sarco220241968
Horse Spgs220231975
Mt. Taylor 2220192014
Magdalena220241997
La Plata 2220152014
Farmington119831975
Salt Lake 2120232013

Juniper Titmouse Population Trend in Other States

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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.