BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 36 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Inca Dove In Tamaulipan Brushlands

All regionsTamaulipan BrushlandsGeneralists

Inca Dove in Tamaulipan Brushlands has held roughly steady: down 9% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-9%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
27Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Inca Dove in Tamaulipan Brushlands. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Inca Dove in Tamaulipan Brushlands is projected to rise about 73% by 2029 — from 1.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.6 (95% range 0.00–5.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±131.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+73%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
2.6Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–5.495% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±131.8%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Inca Dove in Tamaulipan Brushlands is projected to rise about 73% by 2029 — from 1.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.6 (95% range 0.00–5.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±131.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20252.60.005.5
20262.60.005.5
20272.60.005.5
20282.60.005.4
20292.60.005.4

Routes In Tamaulipan Brushlands

Routes recording Inca Dove in Tamaulipan Brushlands.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
EncinalTEXAS82010
Agua NuevaTEXAS72023
HondoTEXAS72024
SejitaTEXAS52024
San YgnacioTEXAS41982
El SauzTEXAS42015
ProgresoTEXAS42009
RachalTEXAS32023
RandadoTEXAS32023
RaymondvilleTEXAS32024
ZapataTEXAS21984
La PryorTEXAS22010
DilleyTEXAS22023
LaredoTEXAS22019
KingsvilleTEXAS12024
Mirando CityTEXAS12024
George WestTEXAS12024
CatarinaTEXAS12010
El IndioTEXAS11998
Catarina 2TEXAS12017
GuerraTEXAS12023
Encinal 2TEXAS12022
MillettTEXAS12012
Pedro CreekTEXAS12004
HeidelbergTEXAS12023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.