BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 33 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Inca Dove In Sonoran and Mojave Deserts

All regionsSonoran and Mojave DesertsGeneralists

Inca Dove in Sonoran and Mojave Deserts has collapsed: down 90% on the route-weighted index since 1971.

-90%Since 1971
17Routes In Region
40Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Inca Dove has collapsed in Sonoran and Mojave Deserts: down 90% on the route-weighted index since 1971.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Inca Dove in Sonoran and Mojave Deserts is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.08 (95% range 0.00–0.52). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±202.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2029
0.08Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.5295% range
±202.3%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.100.000.54
20260.090.000.53
20270.090.000.53
20280.080.000.52
20290.080.000.52

Routes In Sonoran and Mojave Deserts

Routes recording Inca Dove in Sonoran and Mojave Deserts.
FlorenceARIZONA61976
DatelandARIZONA42016
New RiverARIZONA32008
ArabyARIZONA32022
CoolidgeARIZONA21979
Palo VerdeARIZONA22006
Casa GrandeARIZONA22018
BrawleyCALIFORNIA22008
OatmanARIZONA12004
LagunaARIZONA12023
AjoARIZONA11979
Gila BendARIZONA12001
Red RockARIZONA12001
Cactus ForestARIZONA12024
Red Rock 2ARIZONA12023
Hope 2ARIZONA12018
Imperial DamCALIFORNIA12010

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.