Species · BCR 29 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
House Sparrow In Piedmont
House Sparrow in Piedmont has collapsed: down 82% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-82%Since 1968
159Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
House Sparrow has collapsed in Piedmont: down 82% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, House Sparrow in Piedmont is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 15 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–16). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±131.7%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–1695% range
±131.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16 |
| 2026 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16 |
| 2027 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16 |
| 2028 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16 |
| 2029 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16 |
Routes In Piedmont
| Passaic | NEW-JERSEY | 284 | 1969 |
| Leola | PENNSYLVANIA | 239 | 2024 |
| Akron | PENNSYLVANIA | 205 | 1997 |
| Sporting Hil | PENNSYLVANIA | 176 | 1977 |
| Mount Joy | PENNSYLVANIA | 173 | 2024 |
| Cherryville | NORTH-CAROLINA | 145 | 1968 |
| Wheaton | MARYLAND | 134 | 2024 |
| Ephrata | PENNSYLVANIA | 128 | 1988 |
| Madonna | MARYLAND | 125 | 2022 |
| Mt Gretna | PENNSYLVANIA | 123 | 2000 |
| Labott | PENNSYLVANIA | 111 | 1983 |
| Aspers | PENNSYLVANIA | 98 | 1989 |
| Great Falls | VIRGINIA | 84 | 1978 |
| Emmitsburg | MARYLAND | 81 | 2024 |
| Silver Spg | MARYLAND | 81 | 1989 |
| Gatchelville | PENNSYLVANIA | 69 | 1990 |
| Upper Xrds | MARYLAND | 60 | 2008 |
| Collegeville | PENNSYLVANIA | 59 | 2024 |
| Earlton | MARYLAND | 58 | 2024 |
| Pleasant Val | MARYLAND | 53 | 2024 |
| Eklo | MARYLAND | 51 | 2018 |
| Norwood | MARYLAND | 47 | 2012 |
| Ijamsville | MARYLAND | 44 | 2024 |
| Pendleton | SOUTH-CAROLINA | 43 | 1976 |
| Madison | NORTH-CAROLINA | 38 | 1985 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.