BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

House Sparrow In Oaks and Prairies

All regionsOaks and PrairiesGeneralists

House Sparrow in Oaks and Prairies has collapsed: down 83% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-83%Since 1969
74Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

House Sparrow has collapsed in Oaks and Prairies: down 83% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, House Sparrow in Oaks and Prairies is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 13 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–14). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±75.1%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–1495% range
±75.1%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.40.0015
20260.280.0014
20270.000.0014
20280.000.0014
20290.000.0014

Routes In Oaks and Prairies

Routes recording House Sparrow in Oaks and Prairies.
RhomeTEXAS702024
BriteTEXAS612024
HobsonTEXAS402024
BeggsOKLAHOMA352023
OakwoodTEXAS351995
Lone OakTEXAS322022
LocoOKLAHOMA311985
HenriettaTEXAS312022
Thornton 2TEXAS292010
DecaturTEXAS262024
E GeorgetownTEXAS251979
DikeTEXAS252024
DallasTEXAS232024
CreedmoreTEXAS232014
GauseTEXAS221997
Wolfe CityTEXAS211987
NobleOKLAHOMA202024
ThorntonTEXAS201984
CayugaTEXAS202024
MuldoonTEXAS192024
OlaTEXAS192024
WalburgTEXAS172024
YoakumTEXAS162024
WeatherfordTEXAS152024
CottonwoodTEXAS152024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.