BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 25 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

House Finch In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

All regionsWest Gulf Coastal Plain / OuachitasGeneralists

House Finch in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas has surged: up 879% on the route-weighted index since 1996.

+879%Since 1996TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
62Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
31YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

House Finch has surged in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas: up 879% on the route-weighted index since 1996.

House Finch In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, House Finch in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 1.0 (95% range 0.69–1.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±36.4%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+2%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
1.0Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.69–1.495% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±36.4%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, House Finch in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 1.0 (95% range 0.69–1.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±36.4%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19942030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.930.601.3
20270.950.621.3
20280.980.651.3
20291.00.671.3
20301.00.691.4

Routes In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

Routes recording House Finch in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Chandler 2TEXAS102024
Coal HillARKANSAS92022
Liberty HillTEXAS72025
IndianolaOKLAHOMA62025
PocolaOKLAHOMA52016
LivingstonTEXAS52024
DibollTEXAS52025
AthensTEXAS52025
PhillipsOKLAHOMA42025
Easton 2TEXAS42025
MassardARKANSAS32021
EvelynLOUISIANA32014
StarkARKANSAS22025
NanceARKANSAS22025
LongstreetLOUISIANA22025
TroutLOUISIANA22013
De QuincyLOUISIANA22014
ZwolleLOUISIANA22023
WomackLOUISIANA22015
CheniereLOUISIANA22024
MatoyOKLAHOMA22025
New WaverlyTEXAS22025
MortonTEXAS22025
CrossroadsTEXAS22023
WechesTEXAS22024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.