BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 25 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

House Finch In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

All regionsWest Gulf Coastal Plain / OuachitasGeneralists

House Finch in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas has surged: up 686% on the route-weighted index since 1996.

+686%Since 1996TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
59Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
30YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

House Finch has surged in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas: up 686% on the route-weighted index since 1996.

House Finch In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, House Finch in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to rise about 29% by 2029 — from 0.77 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.98 (95% range 0.65–1.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±45.8%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+29%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.98Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.65–1.395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±45.8%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, House Finch in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to rise about 29% by 2029 — from 0.77 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.98 (95% range 0.65–1.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±45.8%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19942029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.900.561.2
20260.920.581.3
20270.940.601.3
20280.960.631.3
20290.980.651.3

Routes In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

Routes recording House Finch in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Chandler 2TEXAS102024
Coal HillARKANSAS92022
PocolaOKLAHOMA52016
LivingstonTEXAS52024
StarkARKANSAS42024
LongstreetLOUISIANA42024
New WaverlyTEXAS42024
MassardARKANSAS32021
EvelynLOUISIANA32014
BethelOKLAHOMA32012
AthensTEXAS32024
Mt. SelmanTEXAS32023
TroutLOUISIANA22013
De QuincyLOUISIANA22014
ZwolleLOUISIANA22023
WomackLOUISIANA22015
Fishville 2LOUISIANA22019
CheniereLOUISIANA22024
MortonTEXAS22023
CrossroadsTEXAS22023
WechesTEXAS22024
EastonTEXAS22013
Old MiloARKANSAS12014
Locust BayouARKANSAS12013
StampsARKANSAS12010

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.