BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 20 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

House Finch In Edwards Plateau

All regionsEdwards PlateauGeneralists

House Finch in Edwards Plateau has edged down: down 13% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

-13%Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
20Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
56YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for House Finch in Edwards Plateau. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, House Finch in Edwards Plateau is projected to rise about 40% by 2029 — from 4.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 6.8 (95% range 1.8–12). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±45.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+40%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
6.8Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
1.8–1295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±45.9%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, House Finch in Edwards Plateau is projected to rise about 40% by 2029 — from 4.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 6.8 (95% range 1.8–12). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±45.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20256.51.611
20266.61.612
20276.61.712
20286.71.712
20296.81.812

Routes In Edwards Plateau

Routes recording House Finch in Edwards Plateau.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
RockspringTEXAS152024
Dripping SpgTEXAS92024
LeakeyTEXAS92024
UtopiaTEXAS72024
LeanderTEXAS72006
ManorTEXAS62024
Indian MtnTEXAS52024
PidcokeTEXAS42013
AdamsvilleTEXAS42024
Prairie Mtn.TEXAS42024
GeorgetownTEXAS31971
Valley SpgsTEXAS32024
HarperTEXAS32024
San SabaTEXAS32024
Pidcoke 2TEXAS32024
BoerneTEXAS22024
FitzhughTEXAS21983
MontellTEXAS22024
KempnerTEXAS12024
Allen CreekTEXAS12024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.