Species · BCR 11 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
House Finch In Prairie Potholes
House Finch in Prairie Potholes has surged: up 12× on the route-weighted index since 1991.
12×Since 1991
75Routes In Region
35Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
House Finch has surged in Prairie Potholes: up 12× on the route-weighted index since 1991.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, House Finch in Prairie Potholes is projected to rise about 32% by 2029 — from 0.42 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.56 (95% range 0.00–1.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±12.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+32%Change by 2029
0.56Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.195% range
±12.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.55 | 0.00 | 1.1 |
| 2026 | 0.55 | 0.00 | 1.1 |
| 2027 | 0.56 | 0.00 | 1.1 |
| 2028 | 0.56 | 0.00 | 1.1 |
| 2029 | 0.56 | 0.00 | 1.1 |
Routes In Prairie Potholes
| Courtland | MINNESOTA | 11 | 2024 |
| Howard | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 9 | 2016 |
| Arlington | MINNESOTA | 8 | 2021 |
| Abercrombie 2 | NORTH-DAKOTA | 7 | 2016 |
| Burchinal | IOWA | 6 | 2023 |
| Great Falls | MONTANA | 6 | 2024 |
| Broadland | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 6 | 2009 |
| Walcott | NORTH-DAKOTA | 5 | 2023 |
| Abercrombie | NORTH-DAKOTA | 5 | 2012 |
| Garner | IOWA | 4 | 1993 |
| Chandler | MINNESOTA | 4 | 2021 |
| Maynard | MINNESOTA | 4 | 2015 |
| Washington | IOWA | 3 | 2024 |
| Wylie | MINNESOTA | 3 | 2023 |
| Big Stone | MINNESOTA | 3 | 2008 |
| Harlem | MONTANA | 3 | 2007 |
| Glasgow | MONTANA | 3 | 2000 |
| Nash | NORTH-DAKOTA | 3 | 2004 |
| Volga | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 3 | 2021 |
| Panther | IOWA | 2 | 2024 |
| Clare | IOWA | 2 | 2019 |
| Titonka | IOWA | 2 | 2004 |
| Mccallsburg | IOWA | 2 | 2024 |
| Hartland | MINNESOTA | 2 | 2015 |
| Gluek | MINNESOTA | 2 | 2007 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.