BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 26 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Horned Lark In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

All regionsMississippi Alluvial ValleyGrassland birds

Horned Lark in Mississippi Alluvial Valley has declined: down 34% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-34%Since 1968
52Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Horned Lark in Mississippi Alluvial Valley. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Horned Lark in Mississippi Alluvial Valley is projected to rise about 13% by 2029 — from 2.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.7 (95% range 0.00–8.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±30.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+13%Change by 2029
2.7Projected 2029 index
0.00–8.695% range
±30.2%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20253.10.009.0
20263.00.008.9
20272.90.008.8
20282.80.008.7
20292.70.008.6

Routes In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

Routes recording Horned Lark in Mississippi Alluvial Valley.
WhittonARKANSAS351991
PawpawTENNESSEE322012
DeventerMISSOURI202024
HughesARKANSAS132023
Augusta 2ARKANSAS122016
TippoMISSISSIPPI122024
Pawpaw 2TENNESSEE102023
WilsonARKANSAS92024
Dahomey NwrMISSISSIPPI92024
HaytiMISSOURI92021
AugustaARKANSAS72001
MaynardARKANSAS72024
KelsoARKANSAS62016
DundeeMISSISSIPPI62022
CommerceMISSISSIPPI61992
Tchula 2MISSISSIPPI51994
KennettMISSOURI52024
TiptonvilleTENNESSEE52022
West TylerARKANSAS41984
FloydLOUISIANA42017
TransylvaniaLOUISIANA42022
TchulaMISSISSIPPI41975
MoonMISSISSIPPI42021
Delta N.F.MISSISSIPPI42004
South BendARKANSAS32023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.