BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 27 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Hooded Warbler In Southeastern Coastal Plain

All regionsSoutheastern Coastal PlainForest birds

Hooded Warbler in Southeastern Coastal Plain has surged: up 136% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+136%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
314Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Hooded Warbler has surged in Southeastern Coastal Plain: up 136% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Hooded Warbler In Southeastern Coastal Plain Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Hooded Warbler in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to rise about 28% by 2029 — from 2.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.6 (95% range 2.8–4.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±9.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+28%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
3.6Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
2.8–4.495% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±9.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Hooded Warbler in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to rise about 28% by 2029 — from 2.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.6 (95% range 2.8–4.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±9.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20253.52.74.3
20263.52.74.3
20273.62.74.4
20283.62.84.4
20293.62.84.4

Routes In Southeastern Coastal Plain

Routes recording Hooded Warbler in Southeastern Coastal Plain.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Trace ChoctawMISSISSIPPI332019
NeelyMISSISSIPPI312012
NorwoodLOUISIANA302024
Trace AttalaMISSISSIPPI252019
RiderwoodALABAMA232023
De SotoMISSISSIPPI232019
BeverlyMISSISSIPPI222011
ForestMISSISSIPPI222024
Trace SouthMISSISSIPPI212019
Trace LormanMISSISSIPPI212019
HoltALABAMA202024
Seminole Hills 2FLORIDA202022
PlettenbergLOUISIANA202022
MashoesNORTH-CAROLINA201982
Leaf RiverMISSISSIPPI192013
LindenALABAMA182023
WedgeworthALABAMA182024
GreensboroALABAMA172024
Grove HillALABAMA172023
GreensburgLOUISIANA172022
Grenada LakeMISSISSIPPI172019
Sandy CreekMISSISSIPPI162000
DeepstepGEORGIA152023
CitronelleALABAMA142023
Gainestown FerryALABAMA142015

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.