BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 27 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Hooded Warbler In Southeastern Coastal Plain

All regionsSoutheastern Coastal PlainForest birds

Hooded Warbler in Southeastern Coastal Plain has surged: up 129% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+129%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
316Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Hooded Warbler has surged in Southeastern Coastal Plain: up 128% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Hooded Warbler In Southeastern Coastal Plain Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Hooded Warbler in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 3.6 (95% range 2.8–4.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±8.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+7%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
3.6Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
2.8–4.595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±8.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Hooded Warbler in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 3.6 (95% range 2.8–4.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±8.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20263.52.74.3
20273.62.74.4
20283.62.84.4
20293.62.84.4
20303.62.84.5

Routes In Southeastern Coastal Plain

Routes recording Hooded Warbler in Southeastern Coastal Plain.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Trace ChoctawMISSISSIPPI332019
NeelyMISSISSIPPI312012
NorwoodLOUISIANA292025
CarrolltonALABAMA282025
Trace AttalaMISSISSIPPI252019
RiderwoodALABAMA232023
De SotoMISSISSIPPI232019
BeverlyMISSISSIPPI222011
Trace SouthMISSISSIPPI212019
Trace LormanMISSISSIPPI212019
Seminole Hills 2FLORIDA202022
PlettenbergLOUISIANA202022
Pearl RiverLOUISIANA202025
ForestMISSISSIPPI202025
MashoesNORTH-CAROLINA201982
GreensboroALABAMA192025
Leaf RiverMISSISSIPPI192013
LindenALABAMA182023
HoltALABAMA182025
AutaugavilleALABAMA182025
Grove HillALABAMA172023
GreensburgLOUISIANA172022
Grenada LakeMISSISSIPPI172019
WeirMISSISSIPPI162025
Sandy CreekMISSISSIPPI162000

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.