Species · BCR 26 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Hooded Warbler In Mississippi Alluvial Valley
Hooded Warbler in Mississippi Alluvial Valley has surged: up 738% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+738%Since 1969
39Routes In Region
53Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Hooded Warbler has surged in Mississippi Alluvial Valley: up 738% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Hooded Warbler in Mississippi Alluvial Valley is projected to rise about 117% by 2029 — from 0.48 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.1 (95% range 0.49–1.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±53.1%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+117%Change by 2029
1.1Projected 2029 index
0.49–1.695% range
±53.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.99 | 0.44 | 1.6 |
| 2026 | 1.0 | 0.45 | 1.6 |
| 2027 | 1.0 | 0.47 | 1.6 |
| 2028 | 1.0 | 0.48 | 1.6 |
| 2029 | 1.1 | 0.49 | 1.6 |
Routes In Mississippi Alluvial Valley
| Warren Vick | MISSISSIPPI | 13 | 2022 |
| Crowley'S Ridge | ARKANSAS | 9 | 2024 |
| Gonzales | LOUISIANA | 3 | 2019 |
| South Bend | ARKANSAS | 2 | 1973 |
| Carlisle | LOUISIANA | 2 | 1988 |
| Roseland | LOUISIANA | 2 | 2024 |
| Ramah | LOUISIANA | 2 | 2019 |
| Berwick | LOUISIANA | 2 | 2018 |
| Tensas Nwr | LOUISIANA | 2 | 2023 |
| Atchafalaya | LOUISIANA | 2 | 2024 |
| Tchula 3 | MISSISSIPPI | 2 | 2024 |
| Tippo | MISSISSIPPI | 2 | 2010 |
| Tallahatchie | MISSISSIPPI | 2 | 2010 |
| Eudora | ARKANSAS | 1 | 2011 |
| West Tyler | ARKANSAS | 1 | 1982 |
| Saffell | ARKANSAS | 1 | 1968 |
| Wilson | ARKANSAS | 1 | 2012 |
| Bardwell | KENTUCKY | 1 | 1989 |
| Bardwell 2 | KENTUCKY | 1 | 2021 |
| Freetown | LOUISIANA | 1 | 2008 |
| Morgan City | LOUISIANA | 1 | 1986 |
| Keystone | LOUISIANA | 1 | 2011 |
| Shaw | LOUISIANA | 1 | 1978 |
| Mayflower | LOUISIANA | 1 | 2002 |
| Frogmore | LOUISIANA | 1 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.