Species · BCR 24 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Hooded Warbler In Central Hardwoods
Hooded Warbler in Central Hardwoods has surged: up 370% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+370%Since 1968
86Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Hooded Warbler has surged in Central Hardwoods: up 370% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Hooded Warbler in Central Hardwoods is projected to rise about 11% by 2029 — from 1.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.6 (95% range 1.1–2.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±7.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+11%Change by 2029
1.6Projected 2029 index
1.1–2.095% range
±7.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.9 |
| 2026 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 2.0 |
| 2027 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 2.0 |
| 2028 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 2.0 |
| 2029 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 2.0 |
Routes In Central Hardwoods
| Boston Mtn. | ARKANSAS | 34 | 2024 |
| Hoosier | INDIANA | 27 | 2024 |
| Trace Collinwood | TENNESSEE | 22 | 2018 |
| Mammoth Cave | KENTUCKY | 21 | 2014 |
| Ozark Nf | ARKANSAS | 19 | 2024 |
| Mammoth Cave North | KENTUCKY | 18 | 2013 |
| Compton | ARKANSAS | 12 | 2022 |
| Lurton | ARKANSAS | 10 | 2023 |
| Belmont | INDIANA | 10 | 2024 |
| Rupert | ARKANSAS | 7 | 2024 |
| Levee 2 | KENTUCKY | 7 | 2019 |
| Brownsville | KENTUCKY | 7 | 2024 |
| Hegira | KENTUCKY | 6 | 2024 |
| Centerville | MISSOURI | 6 | 2024 |
| Collinwood | TENNESSEE | 6 | 2024 |
| Lewis Forest | TENNESSEE | 6 | 2024 |
| Silver Pt | TENNESSEE | 6 | 2024 |
| Trace Lewis | TENNESSEE | 6 | 2017 |
| Courtland | ALABAMA | 3 | 2023 |
| Rudy | ARKANSAS | 3 | 2024 |
| Levee | KENTUCKY | 3 | 1982 |
| Demunbruns | KENTUCKY | 3 | 2019 |
| Cascade | MISSOURI | 3 | 2022 |
| Wesco | MISSOURI | 3 | 2023 |
| Bradyville | TENNESSEE | 3 | 2021 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.