BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 13 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Hooded Warbler In Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain

All regionsLower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence PlainForest birds

Hooded Warbler in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain has surged: up 18× on the route-weighted index since 1968.

18×Since 1968
46Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Hooded Warbler has surged in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain: up 18× on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Hooded Warbler in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain is projected to rise about 96% by 2029 — from 0.75 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.5 (95% range 1.0–1.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±81.4%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+96%Change by 2029
1.5Projected 2029 index
1.0–1.995% range
±81.4%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.40.931.8
20261.40.961.8
20271.40.981.9
20281.41.01.9
20291.51.01.9

Routes In Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain

Routes recording Hooded Warbler in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain.
HarrisvillePENNSYLVANIA92023
Mt MorrisNEW-YORK82024
Canadice LNEW-YORK52024
HarmonsburgPENNSYLVANIA52023
BranchportNEW-YORK42024
SheridanNEW-YORK42024
PulaskiNEW-YORK42024
GarrettsvileOHIO41991
MiddlefieldOHIO42016
RandolphNEW-YORK32018
Sugar GrovePENNSYLVANIA32024
TrumansburgNEW-YORK22023
HamburgNEW-YORK22018
E YoungstownNEW-YORK22022
ByronNEW-YORK22016
LenoxOHIO22023
HiramOHIO22019
CloverPENNSYLVANIA22024
TeeplevillePENNSYLVANIA22024
DuanesburgNEW-YORK12015
CayugaNEW-YORK12018
MacdougallNEW-YORK12019
OrleansNEW-YORK12024
MendonNEW-YORK12018
CastileNEW-YORK12016

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.