Species · BCR 37 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Hooded Oriole In Gulf Coastal Prairie
Hooded Oriole in Gulf Coastal Prairie has surged: up 186% on the route-weighted index since 1992.
+186%Since 1992
5Routes In Region
33Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Hooded Oriole has surged in Gulf Coastal Prairie: up 186% on the route-weighted index since 1992.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Hooded Oriole in Gulf Coastal Prairie is projected to rise about 50% by 2029 — from 0.33 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.50 (95% range 0.05–0.95). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±77.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+50%Change by 2029
0.50Projected 2029 index
0.05–0.9595% range
±77.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.48 | 0.03 | 0.92 |
| 2026 | 0.48 | 0.04 | 0.93 |
| 2027 | 0.49 | 0.04 | 0.94 |
| 2028 | 0.49 | 0.05 | 0.94 |
| 2029 | 0.50 | 0.05 | 0.95 |
Routes In Gulf Coastal Prairie
| Loyola Beach | TEXAS | 14 | 2009 |
| L. Atascosa Nwr | TEXAS | 7 | 2023 |
| Lag Atascosa | TEXAS | 6 | 2024 |
| San Pedro | TEXAS | 4 | 2023 |
| Loyola Beach 2 | TEXAS | 1 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.