BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 32 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Hooded Oriole In Coastal California

All regionsCoastal CaliforniaGeneralists

Hooded Oriole in Coastal California has surged: up 579% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+579%Since 1970
58Routes In Region
56Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Hooded Oriole has surged in Coastal California: up 579% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Hooded Oriole in Coastal California is projected to fall about 37% by 2029 — from 1.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.1 (95% range 0.50–1.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±53.8%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-37%Change by 2029
1.1Projected 2029 index
0.50–1.795% range
±53.8%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.00.421.7
20261.10.441.7
20271.10.461.7
20281.10.481.7
20291.10.501.7

Routes In Coastal California

Routes recording Hooded Oriole in Coastal California.
Harbor Lake 2CALIFORNIA262024
San YsidroCALIFORNIA132019
Oak GroveCALIFORNIA122024
MorenoCALIFORNIA102024
Orange CoveCALIFORNIA92001
Santa YnezCALIFORNIA72019
S CatalinaCALIFORNIA72022
CoyoteCALIFORNIA72024
ParkfieldCALIFORNIA62019
Elsinore MtnCALIFORNIA62024
Cuyamaca PkCALIFORNIA52024
Foster ParkCALIFORNIA41994
Mark WestCALIFORNIA42024
CrestonCALIFORNIA31974
Jofegan 2CALIFORNIA32024
Morro BayCALIFORNIA22019
PowayCALIFORNIA21980
FolsomCALIFORNIA22024
SisquocCALIFORNIA22012
Lake CachumaCALIFORNIA21972
WestleyCALIFORNIA22023
MoragaCALIFORNIA22017
Yolla BollyCALIFORNIA22023
Ora LomaCALIFORNIA22024
Tres Pinos 2CALIFORNIA22010

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.