Species · BCR 16 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Hepatic Tanager In Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau
Hepatic Tanager in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau has fallen sharply: down 72% on the route-weighted index since 1975.
-72%Since 1975
17Routes In Region
45Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Hepatic Tanager has fallen sharply in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau: down 71% on the route-weighted index since 1975.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Hepatic Tanager in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.05 (95% range 0.00–0.18). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±108.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
n/aChange by 2029
0.05Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.1895% range
±108.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.18 |
| 2026 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.18 |
| 2027 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.18 |
| 2028 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.18 |
| 2029 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.18 |
Routes In Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau
| Pecos | NEW-MEXICO | 4 | 2017 |
| La Cienega | NEW-MEXICO | 3 | 2019 |
| Horse Spgs | NEW-MEXICO | 3 | 2023 |
| Claunch | NEW-MEXICO | 2 | 1999 |
| Gallinas | NEW-MEXICO | 2 | 2021 |
| Bluewater Lake | NEW-MEXICO | 2 | 2021 |
| Angel Fire 2 | NEW-MEXICO | 2 | 2018 |
| Sawmill | ARIZONA | 1 | 2010 |
| Walsenburg | COLORADO | 1 | 2018 |
| Ludlow | COLORADO | 1 | 2009 |
| Ojo Sarco | NEW-MEXICO | 1 | 1997 |
| Fence Lake | NEW-MEXICO | 1 | 2023 |
| Horse Mtn | NEW-MEXICO | 1 | 2021 |
| Mt. Taylor | NEW-MEXICO | 1 | 2012 |
| Vallecitos | NEW-MEXICO | 1 | 2023 |
| Claunch 2 | NEW-MEXICO | 1 | 2024 |
| Mt. Taylor 2 | NEW-MEXICO | 1 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.