BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 27 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Hairy Woodpecker In Southeastern Coastal Plain

All regionsSoutheastern Coastal PlainForest birds

Hairy Woodpecker in Southeastern Coastal Plain has declined: down 28% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-28%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
264Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Hairy Woodpecker in Southeastern Coastal Plain. See the full index history below.

Hairy Woodpecker In Southeastern Coastal Plain Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Hairy Woodpecker in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to fall about 25% by 2029 — from 0.30 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.23 (95% range 0.12–0.34). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±26.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-25%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.23Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.12–0.3495% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±26.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Hairy Woodpecker in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to fall about 25% by 2029 — from 0.30 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.23 (95% range 0.12–0.34). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±26.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.230.120.34
20260.230.120.34
20270.230.120.34
20280.230.120.34
20290.230.120.34

Routes In Southeastern Coastal Plain

Routes recording Hairy Woodpecker in Southeastern Coastal Plain.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Trace SouthMISSISSIPPI72019
California 2NORTH-CAROLINA52024
South. PinesNORTH-CAROLINA51996
BethelNORTH-CAROLINA42011
MansfieldTENNESSEE42024
Big OakGEORGIA32024
FranklintonLOUISIANA32009
Lake MaryMISSISSIPPI31989
BeverlyMISSISSIPPI32011
FayetteMISSISSIPPI32004
Trace LormanMISSISSIPPI32019
HertfordNORTH-CAROLINA32017
JacksonNORTH-CAROLINA32016
SweetlipsTENNESSEE32019
CornlandVIRGINIA32009
Dismal SwampVIRGINIA32016
CottontonALABAMA22023
MillryALABAMA22018
BloctonALABAMA21995
JenaALABAMA22009
HoltALABAMA22023
Rock ChapelALABAMA22023
MadridALABAMA21997
GastonburgALABAMA22024
OsceolaFLORIDA22024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.