BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 17 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Hairy Woodpecker In Badlands and Prairies

All regionsBadlands and PrairiesForest birds

Hairy Woodpecker in Badlands and Prairies has held roughly steady: up 8% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+8%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
61Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Hairy Woodpecker in Badlands and Prairies. See the full index history below.

Hairy Woodpecker In Badlands and Prairies Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Hairy Woodpecker in Badlands and Prairies is projected to rise about 212% by 2030 — from 0.14 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.43 (95% range 0.18–0.68). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±148.2%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+212%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.43Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.18–0.6895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±148.2%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Hairy Woodpecker in Badlands and Prairies is projected to rise about 212% by 2030 — from 0.14 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.43 (95% range 0.18–0.68). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±148.2%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.410.160.67
20270.420.170.67
20280.420.170.67
20290.430.180.68
20300.430.180.68

Routes In Badlands and Prairies

Routes recording Hairy Woodpecker in Badlands and Prairies.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
RochfordSOUTH-DAKOTA192018
Elk MountainSOUTH-DAKOTA92004
Roubaix LkSOUTH-DAKOTA61991
Black FoxSOUTH-DAKOTA62017
EnglewoodSOUTH-DAKOTA62021
NorbeckSOUTH-DAKOTA52002
PromiseSOUTH-DAKOTA42012
Oglala Nat. Grass.NEBRASKA32019
CusterSOUTH-DAKOTA32025
HazelrodtSOUTH-DAKOTA32025
LeroyMONTANA21993
Chuffey SpringMONTANA22024
BentleyNORTH-DAKOTA21997
Ft ThompsonSOUTH-DAKOTA22011
BadlandsSOUTH-DAKOTA22004
Hill CitySOUTH-DAKOTA22013
Silver CitySOUTH-DAKOTA22002
SundanceWYOMING22025
MoskeeWYOMING21998
Moskee 2WYOMING22018
JordanMONTANA12017
Two DotMONTANA12022
ForsythMONTANA12021
WebsterMONTANA12016
Reed PointMONTANA12025

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.