BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Green Heron In Peninsular Florida

All regionsPeninsular FloridaWetland birds

Green Heron in Peninsular Florida has fallen sharply: down 68% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-68%Since 1968
79Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Green Heron has fallen sharply in Peninsular Florida: down 68% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Green Heron in Peninsular Florida is projected to fall about 72% by 2029 — from 1.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.42 (95% range 0.00–2.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±53%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-72%Change by 2029
0.42Projected 2029 index
0.00–2.595% range
±53%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.710.002.8
20260.640.002.8
20270.570.002.7
20280.490.002.6
20290.420.002.5

Routes In Peninsular Florida

Routes recording Green Heron in Peninsular Florida.
Holey LandFLORIDA202024
TamiamiFLORIDA101974
BrowardFLORIDA91973
ShawanoFLORIDA92002
ClewistonFLORIDA92023
Mt. OliveFLORIDA92009
AndytownFLORIDA81998
St LucieFLORIDA82024
Devils GardnFLORIDA82024
Boca RatonFLORIDA61994
Pennywash CrFLORIDA62024
Weaver StnFLORIDA62019
PinecrestFLORIDA52024
Winter GardnFLORIDA52018
DeanvilleFLORIDA42019
Dale MabryFLORIDA31988
ScottsmoorFLORIDA32024
Sunniland GrFLORIDA32021
SalvistaFLORIDA31979
Plantation KFLORIDA32004
Key LargoFLORIDA31991
Key WestFLORIDA31987
AripekaFLORIDA32016
Punta GordaFLORIDA32013
Card SoundFLORIDA32014

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.