Species · BCR 34 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Greater Roadrunner In Sierra Madre Occidental
Greater Roadrunner in Sierra Madre Occidental has fallen sharply: down 50% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
-50%Since 1970
25Routes In Region
56Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Greater Roadrunner has fallen sharply in Sierra Madre Occidental: down 50% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Greater Roadrunner in Sierra Madre Occidental is projected to fall about 44% by 2029 — from 2.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.1 (95% range 0.00–3.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±39.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-44%Change by 2029
1.1Projected 2029 index
0.00–3.395% range
±39.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.2 | 0.00 | 3.4 |
| 2026 | 1.2 | 0.00 | 3.4 |
| 2027 | 1.2 | 0.00 | 3.4 |
| 2028 | 1.2 | 0.00 | 3.3 |
| 2029 | 1.1 | 0.00 | 3.3 |
Routes In Sierra Madre Occidental
| Skull Valley | ARIZONA | 14 | 2024 |
| Rucker | ARIZONA | 8 | 2009 |
| Sahuarita | ARIZONA | 6 | 2024 |
| Bartlett Res | ARIZONA | 5 | 2024 |
| Redington | ARIZONA | 3 | 2023 |
| Portal | ARIZONA | 3 | 2024 |
| Sunizona 2 | ARIZONA | 3 | 2023 |
| Reserve | NEW-MEXICO | 3 | 2021 |
| Emory Pass | NEW-MEXICO | 3 | 2024 |
| Pomerene | ARIZONA | 2 | 2024 |
| Sunizona | ARIZONA | 2 | 1997 |
| Vicks Peak | NEW-MEXICO | 2 | 2023 |
| Magdalena | NEW-MEXICO | 2 | 2024 |
| Prescott | ARIZONA | 1 | 2015 |
| San Simon | ARIZONA | 1 | 2023 |
| Peña Blanca | ARIZONA | 1 | 2024 |
| Patagonia | ARIZONA | 1 | 2023 |
| Forest Lakes | ARIZONA | 1 | 2021 |
| Cutter | ARIZONA | 1 | 2014 |
| Amado | ARIZONA | 1 | 2023 |
| Mcneal | ARIZONA | 1 | 2023 |
| Clay Spring | ARIZONA | 1 | 2014 |
| Carr Mtn | ARIZONA | 1 | 2024 |
| Sprucedale | ARIZONA | 1 | 2023 |
| Dragoon | ARIZONA | 1 | 2009 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.