BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 19 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Greater Prairie-Chicken In Central Mixed Grass Prairie

All regionsCentral Mixed Grass PrairieGrassland birds

Greater Prairie-Chicken in Central Mixed Grass Prairie has surged: up 329% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+329%Since 1969
46Routes In Region
52Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Greater Prairie-Chicken has surged in Central Mixed Grass Prairie: up 329% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Greater Prairie-Chicken in Central Mixed Grass Prairie is projected to rise about 45% by 2029 — from 0.87 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.3 (95% range 0.00–2.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±27.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+45%Change by 2029
1.3Projected 2029 index
0.00–2.695% range
±27.8%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.20.002.5
20261.20.002.6
20271.20.002.6
20281.20.002.6
20291.30.002.6

Routes In Central Mixed Grass Prairie

Routes recording Greater Prairie-Chicken in Central Mixed Grass Prairie.
BartlettNEBRASKA311972
ChambersNEBRASKA232023
Swan LakeNEBRASKA212023
SumnerNEBRASKA202024
TableNEBRASKA202017
Wheeler CoNEBRASKA192023
MinneapolisKANSAS172019
CovertKANSAS132013
BartleyNEBRASKA122022
MullenNEBRASKA122023
StrattonNEBRASKA112016
ArthurNEBRASKA112021
SargentNEBRASKA112024
Red CloudNEBRASKA102024
LibertyNEBRASKA91972
BradyNEBRASKA82015
GoveKANSAS72013
KearneyNEBRASKA72024
Liberty 2NEBRASKA72005
SusankKANSAS62009
PhillipsburgKANSAS52012
DamarKANSAS52012
Beloit 2KANSAS42015
Liberty 3NEBRASKA42018
SutherlandNEBRASKA42024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.