BirdAnalyst
Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Great Kiskadee Population Trend in Texas

All statesAerial insectivores

Great Kiskadee in Texas has surged: up 148% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+148%Since 1969
39Routes In State
57Years

Notable Great Kiskadee Trends in Texas

long arc increasecomputed index

Great Kiskadee has surged in Texas: up 148% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Great Kiskadee Population Forecast in Texas

If the recent trend holds, Great Kiskadee in Texas is projected to fall about 12% by 2029 — from 0.43 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.38 (95% range 0.19–0.57). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±81.8%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-12%Change by 2029
0.38Projected 2029 index
0.19–0.5795% range
±81.8%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.360.170.54
20260.360.180.55
20270.370.180.56
20280.370.190.56
20290.380.190.57

Great Kiskadee Survey Routes in Texas

Routes recording Great Kiskadee in Texas.
Loyola Beach 21720242010
Three Rivers1320242011
Raymondville1020241972
Lag Atascosa920241973
Loyola Beach820091994
Kingsville720241977
Rachal520231981
Zapata519871967
Progreso520111994
Sejita520241994
Agua Nueva420191973
Cavasara Cr.420122007
Guerra420231988
El Sauz420231995
Campbellton320182010
Goliad Prairie220072007
Catarina220061970
Hondo220232006
Encinal 2220232015
Catarina 3220222018
Heidelberg220242013
Petronila120222016
Randado120191988
Mirando City120242008
Encinal120102000

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.