BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 36 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Great Crested Flycatcher In Tamaulipan Brushlands

All regionsTamaulipan BrushlandsAerial insectivores

Great Crested Flycatcher in Tamaulipan Brushlands has declined: down 45% on the route-weighted index since 1976.

-45%Since 1976
13Routes In Region
27Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Great Crested Flycatcher in Tamaulipan Brushlands. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Great Crested Flycatcher in Tamaulipan Brushlands is projected to rise about 246% by 2028 — from 0.06 in 2023 to a central estimate of 0.20 (95% range 0.00–0.50). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±91.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+246%Change by 2028
0.20Projected 2028 index
0.00–0.5095% range
±91.1%Backtest error
19692028
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20240.200.000.50
20250.200.000.50
20260.200.000.50
20270.200.000.50
20280.200.000.50

Routes In Tamaulipan Brushlands

Routes recording Great Crested Flycatcher in Tamaulipan Brushlands.
KingsvilleTEXAS32002
San YgnacioTEXAS31969
Mirando CityTEXAS22011
La PryorTEXAS22005
RaymondvilleTEXAS21980
SejitaTEXAS22021
LaredoTEXAS22004
RachalTEXAS11970
ZapataTEXAS11980
RandadoTEXAS12005
George WestTEXAS12019
HondoTEXAS11989
El SauzTEXAS12023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.