BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 27 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Great Crested Flycatcher In Southeastern Coastal Plain

All regionsSoutheastern Coastal PlainAerial insectivores

Great Crested Flycatcher in Southeastern Coastal Plain has surged: up 78% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+78%Since 1968
346Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Great Crested Flycatcher has surged in Southeastern Coastal Plain: up 78% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Great Crested Flycatcher in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to rise about 21% by 2029 — from 13 in 2024 to a central estimate of 16 (95% range 14–18). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17.8%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+21%Change by 2029
16Projected 2029 index
14–1895% range
±17.8%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025161318
2026161418
2027161418
2028161418
2029161418

Routes In Southeastern Coastal Plain

Routes recording Great Crested Flycatcher in Southeastern Coastal Plain.
LovedaleFLORIDA902011
PinettaFLORIDA532024
Dowling ParkFLORIDA512023
Green SwampNORTH-CAROLINA452006
Alligator PtFLORIDA432024
ShallotteNORTH-CAROLINA421991
CallahanFLORIDA402024
CaliforniaNORTH-CAROLINA402013
HilliardFLORIDA382024
Cross CityFLORIDA372023
SandhillsSOUTH-CAROLINA372024
Maple HillNORTH-CAROLINA362023
OlusteeFLORIDA352022
Myrtle GroveNORTH-CAROLINA342024
HildrethFLORIDA332009
WrightsvilleGEORGIA332024
Milltail CrNORTH-CAROLINA332024
SteinhatcheeFLORIDA312023
Hildreth 2FLORIDA312024
ReelsboroNORTH-CAROLINA312019
Broad BranchFLORIDA302024
BelmontFLORIDA302024
New HopeFLORIDA302011
Ware CoGEORGIA302024
CouncilGEORGIA302024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.