BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 26 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Great Crested Flycatcher In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

All regionsMississippi Alluvial ValleyAerial insectivores

Great Crested Flycatcher in Mississippi Alluvial Valley has surged: up 92% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+92%Since 1968
72Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Great Crested Flycatcher has surged in Mississippi Alluvial Valley: up 92% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Great Crested Flycatcher in Mississippi Alluvial Valley is projected to rise about 36% by 2029 — from 4.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 5.5 (95% range 4.1–6.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17.4%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+36%Change by 2029
5.5Projected 2029 index
4.1–6.895% range
±17.4%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20255.23.96.6
20265.33.96.6
20275.44.06.7
20285.44.16.8
20295.54.16.8

Routes In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

Routes recording Great Crested Flycatcher in Mississippi Alluvial Valley.
KraemerLOUISIANA192024
CommerceMISSISSIPPI181993
Delta N.F.MISSISSIPPI142021
FrogmoreLOUISIANA112024
SaffellARKANSAS102019
AtchafalayaLOUISIANA92024
DundeeMISSISSIPPI92022
HughesARKANSAS82023
MaynardARKANSAS82024
Bardwell 2KENTUCKY82024
MayflowerLOUISIANA82024
GibsonLOUISIANA82019
ShelbyMISSISSIPPI82023
South BendARKANSAS72023
HarrisburgARKANSAS72012
GonzalesLOUISIANA72019
Crowley'S RidgeARKANSAS62024
CarlisleLOUISIANA61988
RoselandLOUISIANA62024
TippoMISSISSIPPI62024
Warren VickMISSISSIPPI62022
PawpawTENNESSEE62012
EnglandARKANSAS52024
TransylvaniaLOUISIANA52022
Baton RougeLOUISIANA52024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.