BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 25 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Great Crested Flycatcher In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

All regionsWest Gulf Coastal Plain / OuachitasAerial insectivores

Great Crested Flycatcher in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas has declined: down 30% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-30%Since 1969
109Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Great Crested Flycatcher in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Great Crested Flycatcher in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to fall about 17% by 2029 — from 4.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.3 (95% range 1.3–5.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±16.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-17%Change by 2029
3.3Projected 2029 index
1.3–5.495% range
±16.1%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20253.61.55.6
20263.51.45.6
20273.41.45.5
20283.41.35.4
20293.31.35.4

Routes In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

Routes recording Great Crested Flycatcher in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas.
PushmatahaOKLAHOMA212023
HavanaARKANSAS172021
ChandlerTEXAS142003
Locust BayouARKANSAS122023
Poyen 2ARKANSAS122024
Mount UnionLOUISIANA122024
HopeARKANSAS112024
BlancoOKLAHOMA112016
BlakelyARKANSAS101999
DerryLOUISIANA101989
Fort PolkLOUISIANA101975
De QuincyLOUISIANA102021
LinvilleLOUISIANA102024
CaledoniaTEXAS102024
AthensTEXAS102024
IvanLOUISIANA92013
Pine PrairieLOUISIANA91997
LivingstonTEXAS92024
Neches BithTEXAS92017
Old MiloARKANSAS82024
TroutLOUISIANA82023
ManyLOUISIANA81992
OakdaleLOUISIANA81994
CheniereLOUISIANA82024
EnterpriseLOUISIANA82023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.