BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 19 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Great Crested Flycatcher In Central Mixed Grass Prairie

All regionsCentral Mixed Grass PrairieAerial insectivores

Great Crested Flycatcher in Central Mixed Grass Prairie has surged: up 179% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+179%Since 1969
110Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Great Crested Flycatcher has surged in Central Mixed Grass Prairie: up 178% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Great Crested Flycatcher in Central Mixed Grass Prairie is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 4.2 (95% range 3.3–5.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±15.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+9%Change by 2029
4.2Projected 2029 index
3.3–5.295% range
±15.2%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20254.03.04.9
20264.03.15.0
20274.13.25.0
20284.23.25.1
20294.23.35.2

Routes In Central Mixed Grass Prairie

Routes recording Great Crested Flycatcher in Central Mixed Grass Prairie.
KanopolisKANSAS352024
CovertKANSAS292024
Red CloudNEBRASKA272024
Wichita MtnsOKLAHOMA211994
WellingtonKANSAS152024
BradyNEBRASKA152024
PhrosoOKLAHOMA152024
Ft Sill WestOKLAHOMA141994
Wichita Mtns EastOKLAHOMA122022
AshlandKANSAS112021
Wichita Mts WestOKLAHOMA112022
ChapmanKANSAS91981
BerwetKANSAS92024
Liberty 3NEBRASKA92024
HollisOKLAHOMA92024
SicklesOKLAHOMA92021
NenzelNEBRASKA82024
Eagle CityOKLAHOMA82010
BuckeyeKANSAS72023
CashionOKLAHOMA72024
ArapahoOKLAHOMA72008
DaltonKANSAS62024
MinneapolisKANSAS62019
ErickOKLAHOMA62024
WoodwardOKLAHOMA62024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.