BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 18 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Great Crested Flycatcher In Shortgrass Prairie

All regionsShortgrass PrairieAerial insectivores

Great Crested Flycatcher in Shortgrass Prairie has increased: up 42% on the route-weighted index since 1983.

+42%Since 1983
10Routes In Region
41Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Great Crested Flycatcher in Shortgrass Prairie. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Great Crested Flycatcher in Shortgrass Prairie is projected to fall about 47% by 2029 — from 0.12 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.06 (95% range 0.00–0.12). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±55.2%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-47%Change by 2029
0.06Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.1295% range
±55.2%Backtest error
19802029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.060.000.12
20260.060.000.12
20270.060.000.12
20280.060.000.12
20290.060.000.12

Routes In Shortgrass Prairie

Routes recording Great Crested Flycatcher in Shortgrass Prairie.
Pine RidgeNEBRASKA92024
BereaNEBRASKA22018
CrawfordNEBRASKA22019
CrowleyCOLORADO11990
HaswellCOLORADO11992
WallaceKANSAS12010
Murray LakeNEBRASKA12002
HardestyOKLAHOMA11996
Clear LakeOKLAHOMA12024
MiamiTEXAS12003

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.