BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 13 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Great Crested Flycatcher In Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain

All regionsLower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence PlainAerial insectivores

Great Crested Flycatcher in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain has held roughly steady: down 8% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-8%Since 1968
86Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Great Crested Flycatcher in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Great Crested Flycatcher in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 2.5 (95% range 1.6–3.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±11.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-4%Change by 2029
2.5Projected 2029 index
1.6–3.495% range
±11.2%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.51.73.4
20262.51.73.4
20272.51.63.4
20282.51.63.4
20292.51.63.4

Routes In Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain

Routes recording Great Crested Flycatcher in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain.
WatertownNEW-YORK92011
NaplesNEW-YORK92024
N VictoryNEW-YORK91972
Mt MorrisNEW-YORK72024
CastileNEW-YORK72024
Oriskany FlsNEW-YORK62024
CayugaNEW-YORK62024
BranchportNEW-YORK62024
NashvilleNEW-YORK62018
N WilmurtNEW-YORK61998
HarmonsburgPENNSYLVANIA62023
AusterlitzNEW-YORK52024
Ballston LkNEW-YORK51995
OrleansNEW-YORK52024
ChurchvilleNEW-YORK52024
PenfieldNEW-YORK52024
N Victory 2NEW-YORK52019
Cicero CtrNEW-YORK52024
SalemNEW-YORK52024
RhinebeckNEW-YORK42024
HighlandNEW-YORK42022
W ShokanNEW-YORK42019
TrumansburgNEW-YORK42024
HamburgNEW-YORK42024
North EastonNEW-YORK42024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.