Species · North Dakota · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Gray Partridge Population Trend in North Dakota
Gray Partridge in North Dakota has surged: up 189% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+189%Since 1969
50Routes In State
57Years
Notable Gray Partridge Trends in North Dakota
long arc increasecomputed index
Gray Partridge has surged in North Dakota: up 189% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Gray Partridge Population Forecast in North Dakota
If the recent trend holds, Gray Partridge in North Dakota is projected to fall about 54% by 2029 — from 1.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.74 (95% range 0.00–2.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±52.4%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-54%Change by 2029
0.74Projected 2029 index
0.00–2.095% range
±52.4%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.76 | 0.00 | 2.0 |
| 2026 | 0.76 | 0.00 | 2.0 |
| 2027 | 0.75 | 0.00 | 2.0 |
| 2028 | 0.75 | 0.00 | 2.0 |
| 2029 | 0.74 | 0.00 | 2.0 |
Gray Partridge Survey Routes in North Dakota
| Dickinson | 12 | 2024 | 1971 |
| Bentley | 11 | 2024 | 1988 |
| Danzig | 5 | 1995 | 1989 |
| Sheyenne Lk | 5 | 2024 | 1980 |
| Douglas Crk | 4 | 2024 | 1983 |
| Edgeley | 3 | 2009 | 1980 |
| Bowman | 3 | 2000 | 1975 |
| Roosevelt Pk | 3 | 2017 | 1988 |
| Cedar Creek | 3 | 2022 | 1970 |
| Golva | 3 | 2023 | 1988 |
| Wild Rose | 3 | 2023 | 1982 |
| Parshall | 3 | 2013 | 1982 |
| Braddock | 3 | 2013 | 1988 |
| Forman | 2 | 1991 | 1968 |
| Walcott | 2 | 2017 | 1968 |
| Sydney | 2 | 1983 | 1968 |
| Lake George | 2 | 2011 | 1976 |
| Kempton | 2 | 2003 | 1972 |
| Buchanan | 2 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Lakota | 2 | 1993 | 1968 |
| Webster | 2 | 2022 | 1992 |
| Rolla | 2 | 2024 | 1973 |
| Regan | 2 | 2021 | 1968 |
| Dunn Center | 2 | 2024 | 1974 |
| Loraine | 2 | 2018 | 1982 |
Gray Partridge Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.