BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Gray Kingbird In Peninsular Florida

All regionsPeninsular FloridaAerial insectivores

Gray Kingbird in Peninsular Florida has collapsed: down 88% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-88%Since 1969
21Routes In Region
54Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Gray Kingbird has collapsed in Peninsular Florida: down 88% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Gray Kingbird in Peninsular Florida is projected to fall about 100% by 2028 — from 0.05 in 2023 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.57). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±104%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-100%Change by 2028
0.00Projected 2028 index
0.00–0.5795% range
±104%Backtest error
19672028
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20240.040.000.61
20250.020.000.59
20260.000.000.57
20270.000.000.57
20280.000.000.57

Routes In Peninsular Florida

Routes recording Gray Kingbird in Peninsular Florida.
Key LargoFLORIDA211991
Key WestFLORIDA171987
Sugarloaf KeyFLORIDA112004
Plantation KFLORIDA72004
Sugarloaf Key 2FLORIDA72021
Card SoundFLORIDA32021
PinelandsFLORIDA32021
Weaver StnFLORIDA22015
Holey LandFLORIDA22023
ScottsmoorFLORIDA12008
IndiantownFLORIDA11987
Boca RatonFLORIDA11990
ShawanoFLORIDA11999
DavieFLORIDA12017
KendallFLORIDA11991
HomesteadFLORIDA12021
AripekaFLORIDA11996
Punta GordaFLORIDA12004
FlamingoFLORIDA12017
RedlandsFLORIDA12022
Merritt IslFLORIDA12011

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.