Species · BCR 5 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Gray Flycatcher In Northern Pacific Rainforest
Gray Flycatcher in Northern Pacific Rainforest has collapsed: down 77% on the route-weighted index since 1988.
-77%Since 1988
5Routes In Region
21Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Gray Flycatcher has collapsed in Northern Pacific Rainforest: down 77% on the route-weighted index since 1988.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Gray Flycatcher in Northern Pacific Rainforest is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.25). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±344.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
n/aChange by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.2595% range
±344.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.25 |
| 2026 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.25 |
| 2027 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.25 |
| 2028 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.25 |
| 2029 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.25 |
Routes In Northern Pacific Rainforest
| Navarro | CALIFORNIA | 53 | 1993 |
| Mt Shasta | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 1995 |
| Gazelle | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2017 |
| Elk Lake | OREGON | 1 | 2024 |
| Hazel Camp | OREGON | 1 | 1984 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.