BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 16 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Gray Flycatcher In Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau

All regionsSouthern Rockies / Colorado PlateauAerial insectivores

Gray Flycatcher in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau has surged: up 144% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+144%Since 1970
109Routes In Region
55Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Gray Flycatcher has surged in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau: up 144% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Gray Flycatcher in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau is projected to rise about 49% by 2029 — from 0.68 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.0 (95% range 0.57–1.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±62.1%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+49%Change by 2029
1.0Projected 2029 index
0.57–1.595% range
±62.1%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.960.521.4
20260.970.531.4
20270.990.541.4
20281.00.561.4
20291.00.571.5

Routes In Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau

Routes recording Gray Flycatcher in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau.
Wray GulchCOLORADO112023
Black MesaARIZONA101995
WalsenburgCOLORADO102024
Piceance BasinCOLORADO82004
Animas 2COLORADO82018
Mt. TaylorNEW-MEXICO82012
DeltaCOLORADO72021
AngoraCOLORADO72024
PecosNEW-MEXICO62017
Claunch 2NEW-MEXICO62024
Mt. Taylor 2NEW-MEXICO62024
Glen CanyonUTAH62024
Lost Cr. ResUTAH62016
CokedaleCOLORADO52024
AnimasCOLORADO52004
Moquith MtnUTAH52024
TsaileARIZONA42023
Baxter PassCOLORADO42024
BasinCOLORADO42024
Fence LakeNEW-MEXICO42024
Horse MtnNEW-MEXICO42023
VernalUTAH42018
House RockARIZONA32022
PageARIZONA32019
Douglas PassCOLORADO32024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.